Every frontier-scale model release worth tracking โ specs, timing, and what it means.
updated 2026-08-13 ยท Notion ยท Frontier Model Releases (be1366fa-33a8-4eda-8b83-6abf18ce78d1)
24
models tracked
14
Chinese labs (14/24)
14/23
released @ 1M context
4
releases in Aug '26
๐ก Key insights
1. 9 of 16 released models ship 1M context โ only older Claude Opus 4.7/4.8 and MiniMax M2.7 lag. Context length stopped being a differentiator.
2. MoE everywhere: DeepSeek V4-Pro 1.6T total / 49B active (3%), MiniMax M3 428B/23B, Kimi K3 2.8T/16B (0.6%). Inference cost โ active params โ that asymmetry is the whole MoE business model.
3. 16 releases in ~5 months; 4 landed in the first 2 weeks of August alone (Qwen 3.8 Max, Grok 4.6, DeepSeek V4-Pro, Gemini 3.7 Flash).
4. Claude and Gemini publish no param counts ('not public') โ they compete on capability, not spec sheets. Open labs publish everything.
5. 10 of 17 rows are Chinese labs (DeepSeek ร3, Kimi ร3, Qwen, GLM, MiniMax ร2) โ and GLM-5.3 is pending.
6. No Mistral, no Llama/Meta, no xAI mid-tier, no Apple. The table tracks who's actually shipping frontier-scale.
๐๏ธ Release timeline
๐ MoE efficiency: total vs active params
๐ All models
Model
Family
Release Date
Parameters
Context
Status
GPT-5.4
GPT
2026-03-05
not public
1M
Released
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Gemini
2026-02-19
not public
1M
Released
Qwen 3.5 (397B)
Qwen
2026-02-16
397B17B active
262K
Released
MiniMax M2.5
MiniMax
2026-02-12
229B10B active
192K
Released
GPT-5.3 Codex
GPT
2026-02-05
not public
400K
Released
Claude Opus 4.6
Claude
2026-02-05
not public
1M
Released
Kimi K2.5
Kimi
2026-01-27
1.0T32B active
256K
Released
Qwen 3.8 Max
Qwen
2026-08-03
2.4T
1M
Released
Grok 4.6
Grok
2026-08-07
1.5T (V9 base)
1M
Released
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Gemini
2026-08-13
not public
1M
Released
GPT-5.6
GPT
2026-07-09
not public
1M
Released
Kimi K3
Kimi
2026-07-16
2.8T total / 16 of 896 active
1M
Released
Kimi K2.7 Code
Kimi
2026-06-12
~1T (MoE)
256K
Released
Kimi K2.6
Kimi
2026-04-21
~1T (MoE)
256K
Released
DeepSeek V4-Pro (0813)
DeepSeek
2026-08-07
1.6T49B active
1M
Released
DeepSeek V4-Flash
DeepSeek
2026-04-24
284B13B active
1M
Released
DeepSeek V4-Pro
DeepSeek
2026-04-24
1.6T49B active
1M
Released
Claude Opus 5
Claude
2026-07-24
not public
1M
Released
Claude Opus 4.8
Claude
2026-05-28
not public
200K
Released
Claude Opus 4.7
Claude
2026-04-16
not public
200K
Released
MiniMax M3
MiniMax
2026-06-01
428B23B active
1M
Released
MiniMax M2.7
MiniMax
2026-03-18
229B10B active
200K
Released
GLM-5.3
GLM
โ
TBD
TBD
Expected
GLM-5.2
GLM
2026-06-13
753B (MoE)
1M
Released
Data: Notion ยท Frontier Model Releases (be1366fa-33a8-4eda-8b83-6abf18ce78d1) ยท verified against lab announcements & Artificial Analysis. Page regenerated biweekly from the Notion table โ Notion remains canonical. Built by Heidi.